Why India is rising as a car making base
Japan’s biggest carmakers are accelerating a shift that has been years in the making. Toyota, Honda and Suzuki are moving fresh capital, new products and supply lines into India, turning the country into a key production base while easing their dependence on China. The scale is striking. Together, Toyota and Suzuki have outlined about 11 billion dollars of investments aimed at new factories, expanded capacity and deeper export operations. Honda has signaled it will build and export one of its next electric models from India, anchoring the country within its global production map. India has long offered a large labor pool and cost advantages, yet the current wave reflects a deeper strategic pivot shaped by competition, policy and the next phase of electrification.
- Why India is rising as a car making base
- Inside Toyota’s India playbook
- Suzuki and Maruti scale up for exports and market share
- Honda’s reboot turns India into a build and export base
- The China factor and a regional shift in strategy
- Policy tailwinds and execution challenges
- Jobs, suppliers and technology transfer
- Key Points
Several forces are pushing this move. A bruising price war among Chinese electric vehicle makers has made profits hard to sustain in China. At the same time, India has tightened controls on Chinese investments and has kept its market largely closed to new Chinese car brands. That tilt has given Japanese automakers valuable breathing room as they recalibrate. The numbers underscore the change. Japanese direct investment in India’s transport sector rose more than sevenfold between 2021 and 2024 to about 294 billion yen, while investment in China’s transport sector fell sharply to roughly 46 billion yen over the same period. India produced around 5 million passenger vehicles last year and exported close to 800,000 units, with exports growing faster than local sales, a crucial sign that India is evolving into an export springboard.
The shift speaks to a broader remapping of supply chains. Japanese brands want resilient, diversified production that can serve Asia, the Middle East and Africa, without overexposure to single-country risks. India’s manufacturing quality has improved, local supplier bases are maturing, and government incentives are aimed at building complete ecosystems for hybrids, EVs and advanced components. Local champions such as Tata Motors and Mahindra are also scaling up, making India a competitive yet high-potential arena for growth. The next chapters for Toyota, Honda and Suzuki will be written on Indian shop floors, in vendor parks, and across expanding port corridors.
Inside Toyota’s India playbook
Toyota’s plan in India blends capacity expansion, product scale and deeper localization. The company has announced more than 3 billion dollars to expand manufacturing at its existing southern India complex and to build a new plant in Maharashtra. Toyota aims to launch 15 new and refreshed models in India by the end of the decade and is targeting about 10 percent market share. The expansion would lift Toyota’s production capacity in India beyond 1 million vehicles a year. The strategy reaches beyond big cities. Toyota is opening lean-format sales outlets and smaller workshops to grow in rural markets, while keeping a strong presence in mid and premium SUVs that have powered recent growth.
Hybrids are central to Toyota’s near-term product mix. Models like the Urban Cruiser Hyryder and Innova Hycross have helped the brand lead conversations around fuel-saving options that fit current infrastructure realities. Company executives have also focused on localizing key hybrid parts, working with Indian and Japanese vendors to reduce costs and widen the supply base. At a new site near Aurangabad in Maharashtra, Toyota is expected to produce an SUV with gasoline, hybrid and electric versions, serving both domestic buyers and export customers. The approach aligns with the company’s manufacturing philosophy, which ties product variety to disciplined, quality-focused processes.
Toyota’s production philosophy offers a window into how it plans to scale in India. The Toyota Production System, built on jidoka and Just in Time, stresses quality at the source, minimal waste and continuous improvement.
In an overview of its manufacturing principles, Toyota describes the human-centered spirit at the core of the system. The company states that quality and efficiency come from disciplined processes and constant problem solving by people on the line.
“Human wisdom and ingenuity are indispensable to delivering ever-better cars to customers,” Toyota’s official outline of the Toyota Production System says. “We will maintain our steadfast dedication to constantly improving work through daily incremental improvements and by producing only what is needed, when it is needed.”
These ideas matter in India, where rapid model launches and vendor development must go hand in hand. Jidoka, or automation with a human touch, builds quality into each step, while Just in Time coordinates parts supply so inventory stays lean and output remains flexible. That discipline helps when adding hybrid and electric variants, which demand close coordination with local suppliers for batteries, power electronics and software.
Suzuki and Maruti scale up for exports and market share
Suzuki’s India unit, Maruti Suzuki, already holds the country’s largest share and is now set for a substantial capacity lift. Suzuki plans to invest about 70,000 crore rupees to expand capacity to 4 million vehicles a year by 2030. The plan allocates around 3 million units for the domestic market and about 1 million for export, a clear signal that India will serve as Suzuki’s global build base. The company wants to recover a 50 percent market share that it held before the pandemic. Competition has strengthened, and Maruti’s share sits near 40 percent as Tata Motors and Mahindra gain ground, especially in SUVs.
To push growth, Suzuki is planning its most aggressive product wave yet. The portfolio will be expanded with eight new models, heavily focused on SUVs, and will include all-electric options. One headline model is expected to be the e-Vitara, slated to debut around December 2025. Maruti’s current line already spans entry hatchbacks to strong hybrids. The next phase blends affordability with higher-end features and electrified choices, tuned to Indian preferences for space, efficiency and low running costs.
Suzuki’s plans also include a notable green push. The company will set up nine compressed biogas plants in Gujarat by 2027 with partners such as Amul, Banas Dairy and the National Dairy Development Board. By fiscal 2031, Suzuki projects that CNG and compressed biogas vehicles could account for about 35 percent of its powertrain mix, with hybrids and internal combustion engines at roughly 25 percent each, and the balance from battery electric vehicles. This multi-path strategy aims to cut emissions while fitting India’s fueling and charging infrastructure as it grows.
Honda’s reboot turns India into a build and export base
Honda’s car business in India is preparing a reset after years with a thin lineup. The company plans to launch ten models by 2030, with seven of them SUVs, recognizing India’s strong shift toward that body style. The aim is to rebuild share at home and use India as a springboard to other Asian markets. Honda is positioning India as a production and export base for one of its upcoming electric cars, aligning manufacturing scale with regional demand for efficient, connected vehicles.
The centerpiece is the Honda 0 Series. The first model, the 0 Alpha SUV, is scheduled to debut in 2026, built in India and exported to Japan and Asian markets from 2027. Honda plans an expanded hybrid lineup to sit alongside new EVs, giving customers a bridge as charging networks mature. Battery sourcing for EVs will be centered within Asia, including cells from suppliers such as CATL in Indonesia, a setup designed to keep costs tight and supply chains resilient.
Honda is also treating India as a hub for software and digital capability. The company is building teams focused on connected services, vehicle intelligence and next generation human-machine interfaces. A software-defined approach will help Honda update features faster and tailor vehicles for India while keeping export variants aligned with global standards. The plan signals a return to broader participation in India’s highest growth segments, while using India’s engineering and manufacturing footprint to serve markets beyond its borders.
The China factor and a regional shift in strategy
China remains the world’s largest auto market, yet the competitive calculus has changed. Intense price competition in Chinese EVs has cut margins, and Chinese brands are expanding into Southeast Asia and other regions, often undercutting prices that Japanese automakers relied on. Japanese brands have seen share pressure in markets like Thailand and Indonesia as a result. India offers a counterweight. Its policy stance has made entry difficult for new Chinese carmakers, giving established brands time to localize, expand and compete on features and reliability rather than deep discounts alone.
Tariffs and policy shifts in other regions also show how production is being repositioned worldwide. Honda has moved to build hybrid Civic models in the United States for the US market after tariff increases, a separate example of how companies align production with policy. These decisions reduce exposure to trade shocks and streamline logistics. In India’s case, the export math is improving. Passenger vehicle exports rose about 15 percent last year, outpacing domestic growth of around 2 percent. Models made in India are increasingly destined for markets across South Asia, Africa and the Middle East.
Policy tailwinds and execution challenges
India’s manufacturing push has leaned on incentives, localization rules and clear signals to invest in domestic capacity for batteries, power electronics and other high-value components. Import rules have nudged companies to assemble locally, while production linked incentives encourage scaling up advanced technologies. Restrictions on Chinese capital have further shaped the competitive field. For Japanese brands, the combination of policy support, market size and a maturing vendor ecosystem has made planning multi-year investments easier.
Much of the work now shifts to execution. Automakers need dependable supplier networks for hybrid and EV parts, including motors, battery packs and software. Toyota and Suzuki are working with Indian and Japanese vendors to localize critical components and drive cost down. Achieving consistent quality at scale will require training, audits and tight production discipline. The Toyota Production System’s focus on eliminating waste and building quality into each process step is well suited to this task.
The market is still demanding. Price sensitivity remains high, charging infrastructure is uneven, and tastes can change quickly, as seen in the swing to SUVs. Global carmakers have stumbled in India before. Ford and General Motors struggled to achieve scale and exited their passenger vehicle businesses, though Ford is restarting engine production from its Chennai plant with a focus on exports starting in 2029. Even with friendlier policies, success depends on the right products, smart cost control and timely delivery.
Jobs, suppliers and technology transfer
The Japanese shift brings a broader wave of work for Indian suppliers in metals, plastics, electronics and software. Building hybrids and EVs locally should accelerate investment in battery pack assembly, power electronics and thermal management systems. Industry chatter in Japan and India points to greater cooperation on legacy semiconductor, LCD and battery supply, a trend that would deepen the parts ecosystem that auto manufacturing relies on. As more component makers establish plants, secondary services from logistics to testing and certification scale up as well.
These investments also mean skills transfer. Toyota’s methods of jidoka and Just in Time rely on front-line problem solving and structured training. As lines ramp up, engineers and technicians gain experience that spreads across supplier tiers. Honda’s plan to build software capability in India aligns with the industry shift to vehicles that are updated by code. The more these operations anchor in India, the more likely it is that new design work, testing and validation will happen alongside manufacturing.
Competition will remain fierce. Tata Motors and Mahindra are building wider SUV lineups, including EVs, and Hyundai and Kia are entrenched with strong portfolios. Suzuki’s recent share slide highlights how quickly the market is evolving. Japanese brands will need to balance safety and reliability with sharper pricing and faster refresh cycles. Success in India will also hinge on exports, where Indian-made models can fill gaps in Asia and Africa that previously leaned on factories in China or Thailand.
Key Points
- Toyota, Honda and Suzuki are accelerating investments in India to reduce reliance on China and build a major production and export base.
- Combined commitments from Toyota and Suzuki total about 11 billion dollars, with Toyota targeting 15 new models by 2030 and capacity above 1 million units a year.
- Honda plans to build and export an upcoming 0 Series electric SUV from India, with a broader ten-model plan by 2030 that leans heavily on SUVs and hybrids.
- Suzuki aims to lift capacity to 4 million vehicles by 2030, regain 50 percent market share and push exports to around 1 million units a year.
- India produced about 5 million passenger vehicles last year and exported nearly 800,000, with exports up roughly 15 percent.
- Japanese direct investment in India’s transport sector has jumped more than sevenfold since 2021, while investment in China’s transport sector has dropped sharply.
- India’s policies restrict new Chinese auto entrants and encourage local manufacturing, giving Japanese brands time to localize and scale.
- Toyota’s production philosophy, centered on jidoka and Just in Time, supports rapid scale-up with quality and cost control across local supply chains.
- Risks include intense competition from Tata, Mahindra, Hyundai and Kia, price sensitivity, and the work needed to build out EV supply chains and charging infrastructure.