A production cut reaches Samsung's biggest volume business
Samsung has reportedly told suppliers to prepare for roughly 20% fewer Galaxy A component orders in the fourth quarter of 2026 than it planned at the start of the year, a reduction described by an industry source as equivalent to about 10 million phones. The company is also considering lower shipment targets for 2027 as rising memory prices make affordable smartphones harder to sell profitably.
Contents
- A production cut reaches Samsung's biggest volume business
- What the different production figures cover
- How the pressure built through 2026
- Why memory has become so expensive
- The shortage extends beyond chips
- Affordable Galaxy phones already cost more in Asia
- Premium phones face cost changes too
- Why fewer Galaxy A phones could benefit rivals
- A smaller market changes Samsung's calculation
- Key Points
The adjustment reaches a product family credited with about 70% of Samsung's smartphone shipments. Galaxy A models support its business across India, Southeast Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa, where a small increase in the purchase price can push customers toward another brand.
A more detailed account of the plans puts Samsung's proposed 2027 shipment target for Galaxy A phones with OLED displays at 100 million, down from 120 million. That would mean 20 million fewer phones than initially planned, a reduction of 16.7%, and 10 million fewer than the estimated 110 million OLED Galaxy A shipments in 2026.
Samsung has not publicly confirmed the production cuts or finalized the reported changes to future models. Supplier accounts nevertheless describe a broader effort to protect earnings by limiting less profitable phones, raising prices and directing scarce components toward the Galaxy S and folding Galaxy Z ranges.
The immediate consequence for buyers could be a narrower choice of affordable Galaxy phones at familiar prices. Samsung's problem is that producing more devices offers little relief when the cost of the parts inside each one rises faster than customers can afford.
What the different production figures cover
The roughly 20% Galaxy A reduction compares fourth quarter component orders with Samsung's production plan at the beginning of 2026. Broader supplier accounts describe requests to reduce smartphone deliveries by 20% to 30%, including a comparison with forecasts issued before the September 24 to 27 Chuseok holiday.
Those figures cover different product groups and planning baselines. The Galaxy A estimate concerns the affordable range, while the larger percentages concern smartphone component orders more broadly. Samsung also normally adjusts inventories toward the end of the year, although suppliers describe the current reductions as larger than a routine seasonal slowdown.
The proposed 2027 target needs a similar explanation. Some accounts describe the move from 120 million to 100 million as a target for Galaxy A generally. The account specifying the display supply chain identifies those figures as covering OLED Galaxy A models. Samsung's A0 range uses LCD screens, while the A1, A2, A3 and A5 ranges use OLED, with A1 accounting for more than half of OLED Galaxy A volume.
That scope matters because the 100 million target covers a narrower group than the Galaxy A family credited with 70% of Samsung shipments. OLED screens produce light through their individual pixels, while LCD screens use a backlight. For suppliers, the proposed reduction means fewer orders across several Galaxy A tiers rather than just one model.
How the pressure built through 2026
Samsung's response has developed over several months, beginning with price adjustments and progressing to reported changes in component orders and shipment targets. The sequence shows how rising costs have spread from individual markets to production planning.
- January to March 2026: Samsung adjusted affordable phone prices in India twice, with increases also appearing in the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.
- Second quarter: The price of an 8GB DRAM and 256GB NAND memory combination reached $132, according to Omdia figures cited in industry reporting.
- Third quarter: The same memory combination reached $140, compared with $35 in the third quarter of 2025.
- October 1: Samsung raised domestic Galaxy S26 launch prices by approximately 150,000 to 280,000 won, depending on the model.
- October 19 to 25: Supplier accounts described a lower 2027 OLED Galaxy A target and roughly 20% fewer fourth quarter Galaxy A component orders against the original plan.
The next planning period is 2027, when suppliers expect further Galaxy A restraint. Accounts describing reductions of more than 10% sit alongside the more specific proposal to lower OLED Galaxy A shipments by 16.7% against the initial target.
Why memory has become so expensive
Omdia's figures put the cost of the 8GB DRAM and 256GB NAND combination at four times its level a year earlier, rising from $35 to $140. That adds $105 to the cost of maintaining the same memory capacity before accounting for the screen, cameras, processor, battery or assembly.
DRAM is a phone's temporary working space for running applications. NAND stores photographs, applications and other files. A manufacturer facing higher prices for both must choose how much of the extra cost to absorb, pass to customers or avoid through a different component configuration.
TrendForce figures describe similar pressure on another specification: 12GB of LPDDR5X mobile DRAM cost about $145 to $146 in the second quarter, up 175% from a year earlier. A further increase of roughly 20%, potentially taking the price toward $180, was forecast for the third quarter. LPDDR is a type of memory designed to use relatively little power, making it suitable for phones.
Counterpoint Research estimates cited in industry reporting put memory at about 40% of component costs for phones in the middle price range. Industry sources describe cases in cheaper phones where the share exceeds half. The burden varies by model, memory capacity and the prices manufacturers negotiate.
Artificial intelligence demand is also drawing investment and manufacturing resources toward memory and materials used in more expensive computing equipment. Smartphone manufacturers are competing for supplies in a market where other customers can pay more.
The shortage extends beyond chips
Samsung is also facing higher costs and procurement difficulties for materials used in printed circuit boards and multilayer ceramic capacitors. Circuit boards connect a phone's electronic parts, while the tiny capacitors help keep its electrical supply stable.
Supplier accounts identify glass fibre used in copper clad laminates, including material associated with Japanese producer Nittobo, as another area of pressure. These laminates form part of the foundation of circuit boards. Demand linked to AI hardware is drawing materials toward products with higher selling prices.
Samsung previously benefited from a stronger position in securing materials than some Chinese competitors, helping it maintain Galaxy A supply. Prolonged shortages now appear to be testing that advantage. Directing available parts toward Galaxy S and Galaxy Z phones can bring more revenue from each finished device, although those products serve a different customer budget.
Affordable Galaxy phones already cost more in Asia
India offers an early view of how component inflation reaches customers. By March 9, Samsung had raised prices on several affordable models for the second time since January. Galaxy A06 increases started at about 500 rupees, while Galaxy A17 increases approached 3,000 rupees, depending on the version.
The adjustments also covered models in the Galaxy F and M families, showing that the pressure extends beyond Galaxy A. In the Philippines, the Galaxy A07 with 4GB of RAM rose from 7,990 pesos to 9,990 pesos, an increase of 2,000 pesos, or about 25%. Price increases were also reported in Thailand and Vietnam.
Samsung faces a difficult choice in these markets. Keeping prices unchanged leaves the manufacturer paying more for each phone it builds. Raising them can move a device beyond a customer's budget or make a competing handset more attractive. An industry source described sales of affordable phones as sensitive even to small increases.
The Middle East adds a different cost problem. War related uncertainty can disrupt distribution, slow the sale of existing inventory and require more expensive transport routes. Samsung may therefore put greater weight on pricing in India while concentrating on stock levels and reliable delivery in the Middle East.
For a retailer, slower inventory turnover means phones remain on shelves longer before generating cash for the next order. For Samsung, that can reduce demand for fresh shipments even when a market still has customers who want its devices.
Premium phones face cost changes too
Samsung's move toward expensive phones offers some room to recover costs, but its premium range is also under pressure. The October Galaxy S26 price increases show that higher selling prices are already part of the response.
Samsung is reportedly considering an 8GB RAM option for the Galaxy S27 base and Plus models, compared with 12GB in the current Galaxy S26 equivalents. Accounts describe a possible arrangement in which an 8GB version provides a lower entry price and a 12GB version occupies a higher price tier.
An 8GB configuration would provide one third less RAM than 12GB. RAM gives applications and some AI functions space to work, so capacity matters when several demanding tasks run together. The effect on everyday performance would also depend on software design and whether AI processing happens on the phone or on remote servers.
Other reported cost measures include sharing component specifications across models and using parts from earlier generations in cheaper devices. Counterpoint senior researcher Karn Chauhan expects manufacturers to protect earnings through a combination of premium sales and adjustments to specifications, storage choices and product ranges in markets where customers are sensitive to price.
Why fewer Galaxy A phones could benefit rivals
Xiaomi, Transsion, Oppo and Vivo compete directly with Samsung across affordable Android price bands. Their opportunity would come through the shops and mobile operators that help customers choose a phone within a fixed budget.
A retailer unable to obtain enough Galaxy A devices at a particular price can stock another brand. That creates a risk for both first time smartphone sales and replacement purchases. An existing Galaxy A owner looking for a similarly priced successor may choose a rival if Samsung's nearest option becomes more expensive or harder to find.
Samsung's scale makes the decision consequential. Counterpoint figures cited for the first half of 2026 put its global shipment share at 21.8%, against Apple's 20.9%, a lead of 0.9 percentage points. For the second quarter, the corresponding figures were 23% and 21%.
The annual race is closer in the forecasts. An August projection put Samsung just 0.1 percentage point ahead of Apple for 2026. A forecast for 2027 similarly placed Samsung at 22.6% and Apple at 22.5%. Those narrow margins leave little room for a large reduction in Samsung's main volume range.
Chinese competitors face the same difficult market. IDC figures cited for the third quarter of 2026 show annual shipment declines of 34.5% for Oppo, 31.5% for Vivo and 29.2% for Xiaomi. They may have opportunities to capture Galaxy A customers while also struggling with weaker demand and more expensive components.
A smaller market changes Samsung's calculation
Counterpoint forecasts a 14% contraction in the smartphone market's sales volume in 2026 and an approximately 40% decline in shipments of phones priced below $200 compared with 2025. The steepest expected decline falls in the segment least able to absorb higher parts costs.
Samsung's shipment outlook is consequently being revised. Supplier accounts put 2026 shipments in the low 230 million range, down from roughly 240 million, while broader production accounts suggest totals in the low 200 million range against an earlier expectation of as many as 270 million. Production counts phones made; shipments count phones sent into sales channels, so inventory decisions affect the relationship between the two.
Financial estimates also describe mounting strain. Samsung's combined smartphone and network business reportedly recorded a second quarter operating loss of 735 billion won. Estimates for the mobile business alone put its third quarter loss at about 1.5 trillion won, with one securities firm estimating 1.9 trillion won.
Samsung told its second quarter earnings call that memory cost pressure on the mobile business would continue into the second half. Its stated response included sustaining Galaxy S26 sales and encouraging customers to choose higher Galaxy A models such as the A57 and A37. That approach aims to earn more from each purchase while reducing exposure to the cheapest devices.
For consumers, the practical issue is the combination of price, availability and specifications. Samsung may sell fewer affordable phones, ask more for others and change the memory or components offered at each price. Its central business decision is how much shipment volume to give up to make the remaining sales more profitable.
Key Points
- Samsung reportedly cut fourth quarter Galaxy A component orders by roughly 20% against its original 2026 plan.
- A proposed 2027 OLED Galaxy A target of 100 million phones is 16.7% below the initial 120 million target.
- An 8GB DRAM and 256GB NAND combination rose from $35 to $140 between the third quarters of 2025 and 2026.
- Affordable Galaxy prices have already risen in several Asian markets, including India and the Philippines.
- Samsung is considering component changes while directing more resources toward premium phones.
- Reduced Galaxy A supply could send customers to competing Android brands and narrow Samsung's shipment lead over Apple.






