Small businesses drive another year of rising failures
Japan recorded 9,372 corporate bankruptcies from January through November 2025, putting the country on course to exceed 10,000 for a second consecutive calendar year. Behind the total is mounting pressure on small businesses facing higher costs, shortages of workers and repayments on loans that helped them survive the pandemic.
Contents
- Small businesses drive another year of rising failures
- A volatile year with an upward trend
- More failures can come with less debt
- Services and construction face heavy pressure
- Inflation and the yen squeeze cash reserves
- Worker shortages reduce the ability to earn
- Owners without successors face another problem
- Pandemic loan repayments meet changing credit conditions
- Regional differences and the next pressure points
- Key Points
Tokyo Shoko Research's count covers failures involving liabilities of at least 10 million yen. Calendar 2024 ended with 10,006 bankruptcies, the first time the total had passed 10,000 in 11 years. Fiscal 2024, which ran from April 2024 through March 2025, recorded 10,144 failures, also the highest tally in 11 years.
November offered some relief. The month's 778 bankruptcies were down 7.5 percent from a year earlier, while the liabilities attached to those failures fell 48.6 percent to 82.4 billion yen. Larger failures involving debts of 500 million yen or more fell by half, helping explain why the debt total dropped much faster than the number of cases.
Small and midsized companies remain particularly exposed. A weak yen increases the cost of imported supplies, while competition for workers pushes up wages. Many smaller businesses have little bargaining power when asking customers to pay more, leaving them to absorb rising expenses themselves.
As of December 8, the full calendar year total was still unknown. The count through November nevertheless pointed toward another year above 10,000, despite the latest monthly decline. The central problem is that businesses with thin cash reserves are being asked to cover more expensive supplies, payroll and debt payments at the same time.
A volatile year with an upward trend
Japan's monthly bankruptcy figures have moved unevenly during 2025. Some months brought a decline compared with a year earlier, but those pauses have occurred within a longer rise in business failures.
Tokyo Shoko Research counted 5,172 bankruptcies from April through September 2025, the highest total for the first half of a fiscal year in 12 years. The trend has been upward for four consecutive years.
Teikoku Databank recorded 835 cases in May, the first decline compared with a year earlier after a long stretch of increases. Later monthly readings rose before November's retreat. The main dates and totals show how the pressure has developed:
- Calendar 2024: Corporate bankruptcies reached 10,006, crossing 10,000 for the first time in 11 years.
- April 2024 to March 2025: The fiscal year ended with 10,144 failures.
- April to September 2025: The first half of the fiscal year recorded 5,172 failures, the highest such total in 12 years.
- May 2025: Teikoku Databank counted 835 cases, a decline compared with a year earlier.
- September 2025: The monthly count reached 873.
- October 2025: Failures increased to 965.
- November 2025: Cases fell to 778, bringing the January to November total to 9,372.
Calendar and fiscal years cover different periods. Calendar 2024 ended in December, while fiscal 2024 continued through March 2025. Keeping those periods separate helps explain why the two annual totals differ.
More failures can come with less debt
Japan's major credit research agencies use a threshold of at least 10 million yen in debts for their standard bankruptcy counts. That excludes very small closures, so the figures describe a defined group of business failures rather than every company that stops trading.
Within that group, recent failures have increasingly involved smaller businesses and smaller amounts of debt. Companies with fewer than 10 employees accounted for close to nine in ten cases in 2024. A large majority of failures in 2025 involved debts below 100 million yen.
November illustrates how the size of failed businesses changes the totals. Cases fell 7.5 percent, but liabilities fell 48.6 percent as the number of failures with debts of at least 500 million yen halved. When fewer large companies fail, the combined debt can shrink sharply even while many small businesses remain under pressure.
Tokyo Shoko Research has highlighted this growing share of small cases. It lowers the average debt per failure while contributing to the elevated case count. The businesses affected include corner shops, small contractors and micro manufacturers whose finances depend heavily on energy prices, delivery charges and supplier payment terms.
Services and construction face heavy pressure
Service businesses continue to account for the largest number of bankruptcies. Restaurants, bars, hotels, personal services and other operators serving local customers face rising food and energy bills alongside stronger competition for employees.
Services recorded more than 3,300 failures in calendar 2024, an increase from the previous year. In November 2025, the sector registered 250 cases. That was lower than a year earlier but still the largest sector total for the month.
Construction is another major trouble spot. Its bankruptcy count rose to just under 1,950 in 2024. Elevated material prices have increased project costs, while a shortage of staff has made it harder to complete work. New limits on overtime have also made scheduling more difficult and expensive.
Manufacturing failures increased as parts and energy bills climbed. Transportation experienced some relief in 2024 because more operators were able to pass higher costs to clients. Even so, logistics, retail and real estate businesses continued to operate with little room for financial setbacks.
Passing on costs means charging customers more to cover higher expenses. A transport operator that secures a higher delivery rate can recover some of its increased costs. A small supplier whose customer refuses a price increase must find the money elsewhere or accept a smaller margin on each sale.
Inflation and the yen squeeze cash reserves
Tokyo Shoko Research attributed 700 bankruptcies in the first 11 months of 2025 to price pressures, an increase from a year earlier. Higher input costs have remained a common factor in failures, particularly among businesses unable to revise their selling prices quickly.
A weaker yen makes imported fuel, food and basic materials more expensive in Japanese currency. Businesses buying supplies priced in dollars or euros need more yen to pay the same foreign currency bill. That creates a direct strain for companies whose income is in yen.
Small suppliers and storefront businesses often lack the bargaining power to recover those increases promptly. Larger customers may resist revised prices or delay accepting them. Meanwhile, utility bills, wholesale purchases and other expenses still have to be paid.
Thin cash reserves make even modest increases difficult to manage. A company can keep making sales while running short of the money needed to pay its immediate bills. If it cannot meet its debts, that pressure can develop into insolvency.
The growing number of failures involving relatively small liabilities reflects this strain. Many modest businesses are reaching the limits of what they can absorb, even as the combined debt attached to bankruptcies remains below the levels seen in past spike years.
Worker shortages reduce the ability to earn
Japan's tight job market and aging workforce are adding to the financial pressure. Bankruptcies citing workforce shortages reached a record pace in the first half of fiscal 2025, with more than 200 cases.
Calendar 2024 recorded 289 failures linked to labor shortages, the highest level in years. Smaller employers have reported losing staff to larger rivals able to provide better pay and working conditions.
Service businesses can lose revenue when they cannot recruit or retain enough employees. An operator may have to shorten opening hours, reducing sales while continuing to cover many of the same bills. Lower receipts then make it harder to fund wages, purchases and repayments.
Higher wages and a shortage of workers therefore affect businesses in different ways at once. Employers need to offer enough to keep staff, but companies already struggling with food, energy or material costs may find that difficult. Changing work rules add further demands, including the overtime limits affecting construction schedules.
Owners without successors face another problem
Business succession presents a parallel challenge. In 2024, 462 bankruptcies were tied to the inability to find a successor to take over a company.
Owners approaching retirement may have neither a family member nor a buyer ready to continue the business. Rising payroll and compliance demands add to the burden of keeping it operating while a replacement is sought.
Some businesses close without entering formal bankruptcy. Others reach the courts when they can no longer meet their debts. Succession problems therefore sit alongside the financial pressures affecting businesses that still have customers and work to do.
Regional economies with many small firms are especially exposed to the combination of aging owners, shortages of workers and rising wages. The difficulty is both finding people to do the work now and finding someone able to run the company in the years ahead.
Pandemic loan repayments meet changing credit conditions
Emergency support introduced during the pandemic is winding down. Interest free, unsecured loans helped businesses stay afloat during 2020 and 2021, but companies must now repay or refinance those borrowings.
Fiscal 2024 recorded 529 bankruptcies involving businesses that had received those loans. Repayments add another regular demand on cash at a time when many smaller companies are already paying more for supplies and staff.
Tax deferral measures have also ended. Companies that relied on postponing those payments now face additional monthly obligations alongside their other expenses.
The Bank of Japan has begun a cautious move away from very low interest rates. Policymakers monitor bankruptcies alongside wages and prices when assessing the economy. For smaller borrowers, the direction of rates matters when existing credit has to be renewed or replaced.
Refinancing means taking out new borrowing to replace an existing loan. If the new loan carries a higher interest rate, the business must devote more money to servicing its debt. Even when headline rates remain low by global standards, stricter lending checks and higher risk premiums can push a marginal company toward failure. A risk premium is the extra interest a lender charges to account for the chance that a borrower may struggle to repay.
Bank lending attitudes and government backed refinancing schemes will help determine how many troubled businesses can cover their immediate obligations while waiting for demand to recover. Loan repayments, tax payments and interest expenses all compete for the same limited cash.
Regional differences and the next pressure points
Teikoku Databank's May 2025 figures showed fewer bankruptcies than a year earlier in seven of Japan's nine regions. Kanto had the largest number of cases, while Chugoku recorded the biggest decrease.
The national respite did not last through the following months. Totals moved higher during the summer and early autumn before declining in November. Regional conditions and individual monthly readings therefore remain uneven within the broader increase.
December and January can bring difficult cash demands for small firms. Year end bonus payments, winter utility bills and slow payments from customers may arrive together. Businesses with limited reserves have less room to absorb that combination.
A stronger yen and cheaper imported energy could ease some cost pressure. More successful efforts to pass higher costs into supplier contracts could also help businesses keep up with wages and debt payments.
Wage settlements at smaller companies during the next labor talks will indicate whether pay gains are spreading beyond large exporters. The pace of increases in food, energy and construction material costs will shape how much money service and building companies retain from their sales.
Bank of Japan policy, lending conditions and access to refinancing remain other key variables to watch in early 2026. Together with wage and energy price trends, they will affect whether vulnerable companies can bridge a temporary cash shortage or face deeper financial trouble.
Key Points
- Japan recorded 9,372 corporate bankruptcies from January through November 2025, putting the calendar year on course to exceed 10,000 again.
- Calendar 2024 recorded 10,006 failures, while fiscal 2024, ending in March 2025, recorded 10,144.
- November failures fell 7.5 percent to 778, and liabilities dropped 48.6 percent to 82.4 billion yen.
- Services remained the largest sector for failures, with 250 cases in November and more than 3,300 in calendar 2024.
- Price pressures were linked to 700 bankruptcies in the first 11 months of 2025.
- More than 200 failures cited workforce shortages in the first half of fiscal 2025. Calendar 2024 recorded 289 such cases and 462 bankruptcies tied to succession difficulties.
- Companies with fewer than 10 employees made up close to nine in ten failures in 2024. Most failures in 2025 involved debts below 100 million yen.
- Pandemic loan repayments, the end of tax deferrals and changing credit conditions are adding to pressure on small businesses.






